[10], The third model is called the economic model of the vote or the Rochester School of Economics, developed by Downs in the book An Economic Theory of Democracy published in 1957.[11]. The role of the centrality of partisan identification has been criticized, especially today, because partisan identification plays a role that is still important but much less important than it used to be and may be much less important than some researchers within this paradigm have postulated. For example, there is Lazarsfeld's theory with the idea that opinion leaders can be seen as people to whom we attribute a strong trust and maybe even an esteem in relation to the political judgment they may have and therefore, by discussing with these people, it is possible to form an electoral choice and therefore there is no need to go and pay these costs of gathering information. There is a kind of heterogeneity of voters. In other words, in this retrospective assessment, the economic situation of the country plays a crucial role. These criticisms and limitations are related to the original model. Thus, voters find it easier to assess performance than declared plans during an election campaign. The psycho-sociological model says that it is because this inking allows identification with a party which in turn influences political attitudes and therefore predispositions with regard to a given object, with regard to the candidate or the party, and this is what ultimately influences the vote. Symbols evoke emotions. We are not ignoring the psychological model, which focuses on the identification people have with parties without looking at the parties. The assumption is that mobilizing an electorate is done by taking clear positions and not a centrist position. It is a variant of the simple proximity model which remains in the idea of proximity but which adds an element which makes it possible to explain certain voting behaviours which would not be explainable by other models. WebThe central concept of this model of voting behavior is partisanship, which is designed as a psychological affinity, stable and lasting relationship with a political party that does not As for the intensity model, they manage to perceive something more, that is to say, not only a direction but an intensity through which a political party defends certain positions and goes in certain political directions. Merrill, Samuel, and Bernard Grofman. The psycho-sociological model also developed a measure called the partisan identification index, since this model wanted to be an empirical model with behaviourism and the idea of studying individual behaviours empirically with the development of national election studies and survey data to try to measure the partisan identification index. Often identified as School of The law of curvilinear disparity takes up this distinction. It is a third explanation given by Przeworski and Sprague in their theory of partisan competition, also known as the theory of mobilization of the electorate. The term "group" can mean different things, which can be an ethnic group or a social class. In other words, the voters' political preferences on different issues, in other words, in this type of theorizing, they know very well what they want, and what is more, these positions are very fixed and present when the voter is going to have to vote. Pp. Iversena proposed a way of classifying the different explanatory theories of voting that allow to add a very important element that has been neglected until now. In the sociological and psycho-sociological model, there was no place for ideology, that's another thing that counts, on the other hand, in economic theories, spatial theories and Downs' theory of the economic vote, ideology is important. 0-8, 9, 10. WebThis voting theory suggests that models of the vote choices of rational individuals should work with social rather than selfish utility functions. 0000009473 00000 n That discounting depends on where the policy is right now in relation to what the party is promising, and that is the directional element. Partisan attachment is at the centre of the graph influencing opinions on certain issues being discussed or the attitudes of certain candidates. If we look at it a little more broadly, partisan identification can be seen as a kind of shortcut. There are a whole bunch of individual characteristics related to the fact that one is more of a systematic voter of something else. 0000007057 00000 n Pages pour les contributeurs dconnects en savoir plus. In other words, when we are interested in trying to explain the vote, we must already know what type of voter we are talking about. The economic model makes predictions and tries to explain both the participation but also, and above all, the direction of the vote, which is the electoral choice. They find that conscientious and neurotic people tend not to identify with a political party. does partisan identification work outside the United States? This economic theory of the vote, this rationalist theory, has a great advantage over the other models, which is that it does not only focus on voters, that is to say, it does not only focus on political demand, but it also looks at supply and especially at the interaction between supply and demand. This is called retrospective voting, which means that we are not looking at what the parties said in their platforms, but rather at what the parties did before. Elections and voters: a comparative introduction. This is the idea of collective action, since our own contribution to an election or vote changes with the number of other citizens who vote. It is the state of the economy that will decide who will win the election or not. In this model, there is a region of acceptability of positional extremism which is a region outside of which the intensity of the positions or the direction shown by a party cannot go because if it goes beyond that region, the voter will no longer choose that party. Voting represents an important aspect of public participation in a democratic system. A distinction is made between the sociological model of voting from the Columbia School, which refers to the university where this model was developed. To study the expansion of federal authority over states. The idea is that it is in circles of interpersonal relations even if more modern theories of opinion leaders look at actors outside the personal circle. IVERSEN, T. (1994). It is a paradigm that does not only explain from the macro-political point of view an electoral choice, but there is the other side of the coin which is to explain the choice that the parties make. We are looking at the interaction. Much of the work in electoral behaviour draws on this thinking. When we talk about the Downs model, we also talk about the proximity model, which is the idea of a rational economic mode based on utility maximization. The sociological model at the theoretical level emphasizes something important that rationalist and economic theories have largely overlooked, namely, the importance of the role of social context, i.e., voters are all in social contexts and therefore not only family context but also a whole host of other social contexts. [8][9], The second very important model is the psycho-sociological model, also known as the partisan identification model or Michigan School model, developed by Campbell, Converse, Miller and Stokes in Campbell, Converse, Miller and Stokes, among others in The American Voter published in 1960. We end up with a configuration where there is an electorate that is at the centre, there are party activists who are exercising the "voice" and who have access to the extreme, and there are party leaderships that are in between. How was that measured? Political parties can make choices that are not choices to maximize the electorate, unlike spatial theories, where parties seek to maximize their short-term electoral support in an election. There are other variants or models that try to accommodate this complexity. Voters assess the utility income of parties and candidates. In summary, it can be said that in the economic model of voting, the political preferences of voters on different issues, are clearly perceived by the voters themselves which is the idea that the voter must assess his own interest, he must clearly perceive what are the political preferences of voters. They are both proximity choices and directional choices with intensity, since there are voters who may choose intensity and others who may choose direction. There is a whole literature on opinion formation, quite consensually, that says that citizens have a limited capacity to process information. The second question is according to which criteria to determine the individual utility of voters. Today, there is an attempt to combine the different explanations trying to take into account, both sociological determinants but also the emotional and affective component as well as the component related to choice and calculation. It is the idea of when does one or the other of these different theories provide a better explanation according to periods of political alignment or misalignment. The external factors would be the factors that, in the basic theory of the psycho-sociological approach, it would seem that this is what can do but if we have a certain partisan attachment to vote for another party because we are influenced by one or other of these factors but, basically, we keep our partisan attachment and the next time when these factors change, we return to the normal vote corresponding to the partisan attachment. It is a moment when social cleavages directly influence the vote in this approach and therefore the sociological model, perhaps, at that moment, better explains the vote. Ideology is a means of predicting and inferring political positions during an election campaign. This refers to the Michigan model, the psycho-sociological model. startxref Prospective voting says that voters will listen to what candidates and parties have to say. According to Fiorina, identification with a party is not necessarily the result of a long phase of socialization, but it is also the result of evaluations of a certain party, it is the fact of voting for that party that makes it possible to develop a partisan identification. This diagram shows the process of misalignment with changes in the generational structure and changes in the social structure that create political misalignment. xxxiii, 178. The model integrates several schools of thought that have tried to explain voter behavior; it is tested by predicting the behavior of respondents based on the model, and then validating the results with the actual behavior of the respondents. The same can be said of the directional model with intensity. WebThe three widely accepted behavioral models of voter choice are: the sociological model, the social-psychological model, and the rational choice model. Mitt Romney's gonna lower their taxes, so they're gonna vote for them, and to be clear, it's not that everyone's behavior From that point on, there has been the development of a whole body of literature on political psychology. The influence of friends refers to opinion leaders and circles of friends. Reinforcement over time since adult voters increasingly rely on this partisan identification to vote and to face the problems of information, namely partisan identification seen as a way of solving a problem that all voters have, which is how to form an idea and deal with the abundance and complexity of the information that comes to us from, for example, the media, political campaigns or others in relation to the political offer. The basic idea is somewhat the same, namely that it is a way that voters have at their disposal, a euristic and cognitive shortcut that voters have at their disposal to deal with the problem of complex information. Merrill and Grofman have proposed unified models that want to get out of this hyper-simplification with respect to spatial theories where one either makes a choice of possibilities or a choice of direction but evacuates any other element such as partisan identification, socialization, social inclusion, economic conditions as well as the role of opinion leaders as seen in the funnel model of Michigan theory. This idea of an issue was not invented by the proponents of the economic model of voting but was already present in the psycho-sociological model. Often, in Anglo-Saxon literature, this model is referred to as the party identification model. Symbolic politics says that what is important in politics are not necessarily the rationally perceived positions or the political positions of the parties but what the political symbols evoke in relation to certain issues. There is also a literature on whether certain parties have certain issues, which voters believe are the parties that are better able to deal with a certain issue. There may be one that is at the centre, but there are also others that are discussed. In other words, there is the idea of utility maximization which is a key concept in rational choice theory, so the voter wants to maximize his utility and his utility is calculated according to the ratio between the cost and the benefit that can be obtained from the action, in this case going to vote (1) and going to vote for that party rather than this one (2). This identification is seen as contributing to an individual's self-image. By finding something else, he shaped a dominant theory explaining the vote. Between the early 1940s and the late 1960s, four basic models of voter behavior have been proposed on which almost all studies of electoral behavior draw. In the Michigan model, the idea of stakes was already present but was somewhat underdeveloped, and this perspective on the role of stakes in the psychosocial model lent itself to both theoretical and empirical criticism from proponents of rationalist models. The first one Is what we call the sociological model that was presented in the 1940s by a group of scholars from Columbia. [14] They try to answer the question of how partisan identification is developing and how partisan identification has weakened because they look at the stability over time of partisan identification. . The problem of information is crucial in the spatial theories of voting and who would need an answer to fully understand these different theories. Lazarsfeld was the first to study voting behaviour empirically with survey data, based on individual data, thus differentiating himself from early studies at the aggregate level of electoral geography. While in the United States, several studies have shown that partisan identification is an important explanatory power on electoral choice, in other contexts this is less true. Today, in the literature, we talk about the economic vote in a narrower and slightly different sense, namely that the electoral choice is strongly determined by the economic situation and by the policies that the government puts in place in particular to deal with situations of economic difficulty. The second criterion is subjectivity, which is that voters calculate the costs and benefits of voting subjectively, so they make an assessment of the costs and benefits. Hinich and Munger take up the Downs idea but turn it around a bit. The theoretical criticism consists in saying that in this psychosocial approach or in this vision that the psychosocial model has of the role of political issues, the evaluation of these issues is determined by political attitudes and partisan identification. Rationalist theories and spatial models of the vote have had the very beneficial relationship of putting precisely the free choice of voters at the centre of analyses. In the literature, spatial theories of voting are often seen as one of the main developments of the last thirty years which has been precisely the development of directional models since the proximity model dates back to the 1950s. As far as the proximity model with discounting is concerned, there is a concern when we are going to apply it empirically: we need to be able to determine what the degree of discounting is, how much the voter is going to discount. This approach has often been criticized as a static approach since socio-economic or even socio-demographic characteristics do not change in the short term and yet the vote increasingly changes in the short term, what is called in electoral volatility, i.e. There are also studies that show that the more educated change less often from one party to another. 135150. Finally, in a phase of misalignment, this would be the economic model, since there is a loss of these partisan loyalties, so these voters become more and more reactive to political events and therefore may be more rational in their decision-making process. and voters who choose to use euristic shortcuts to solve the information problem. We want to know how and why a voter will vote for a certain party. There are several responses to criticisms of the proximity model. This is called the proximity model. In other words, if we know the partisan identification of voters, we can make a prediction about what the normal vote will be, which is a vote that is not or should not be influenced by other situational factors in a given electorate. Thus our model explains not just why but also how rational people vote. A distinction can be made between the simple proximity model, which is the Downs model, and the proximity model with Grofman discounting. The psycho-sociological model is intended as a development that wants to respond to this criticism. The importance of symbolic politics is especially capitalized on by the intensity directional models. In this model, importance is given to primary socialization. changes in voting behaviour from one election to the next. 5. voters who follow a systematic vote are voters who are willing to pay these information or information-related costs. We can talk about two major theories or two major models or even three models. It is a model that is very close to data and practice and lends itself very easily to empirical testing through measures of partisan identification and different measures of socio-demographic factors among others. It is in this sense that the party identification model provides an answer to this criticism that the sociological model does not highlight the mechanisms that make a certain social inking influence a certain electoral choice. Cambridge New York: Cambridge University Press, 1999. The utility function of this model is modified compared to the simple model, i.e. So there is this empirical anomaly where there is a theory that presupposes and tries to explain the electoral choices but also the positions of the parties in a logic of proximity to the centre of the political spectrum, but on the other hand there is the empirical observation that is the opposite and that sees parties and voters located elsewhere. This is the median voter theory. This approach emphasizes a central variable which is that of partisan identification, which is a particular political attitude towards a party. The idea was that there were two possible responses that are put in place by members of that organization: one of "exit", to withdraw, to go to another organization. Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire: Macmillan Education, 1987. There are three possible answers: May's Law of Curvilinear Disparity is an answer that tries to stay within the logic of the proximity model and to account for this empirical anomaly, but with the idea that it is distance and proximity that count. Moreover, retrospective voting can also be seen as a shortcut. At the aggregate level, the distribution of partisan identification in the electorate makes it possible to calculate the normal vote. On the other hand, women tend to have less stable partisan identification, they change more often too. If certain conditions are present, such as good democratic functioning within the party, activists will have the opportunity to exercise "voice" and influence positions. In prospective voting, Grofman said that the position of current policy is also important because the prospective assessment that one can make as a voter of the parties' political platforms also depends on current policy. 65, no. Voting for a party and continuing to vote for such a party repeatedly makes it possible to develop an identification with that party which, in a way, then reinforces the electoral choice. However, he conceives the origin and function of partisan identification in a different way from what we have seen before. Finally, they can vote for the candidate who is most likely in the voters' perception to change things in a way or in a way that leaves them the most satisfied. This is the basic motivation for the development of these directional models. We often talk about economic theory of the vote in the broadest sense in order to designate a rationalist theory based on rational choice theory and spatial theories of the vote. For example, a strongly conservative voter who votes Democratic may vote Republican because he or she feels more in tune with the party. In Switzerland, the idea of an issue is particularly important because there is direct democracy, which is something that by definition is based on issues. Maximizing utility is done in proximity to certain issues. That is called the point of indifference. There are other cleavages that cut across Republicans and Democrats that should be taken into account to explain the pattern. "i.e., if it is proximity, it is 'yes', otherwise it is 'no' and therefore directional; 'are the preferences of the actors exogenous? Lazarsfeld's book created this research paradigm. Fiorina's theory of retrospective voting is very simple. 0000001124 00000 n In this perspective, voting is essentially a question of attachment, identity and loyalty to a party, whereas in the rationalist approach it is mainly a question of interest, cognition and rational reading of one's own needs and the adequacy of different political offers to one's needs. By Jill Suttie November 5, 2018 Mindfulness Research element5/Unsplash Read More Focus Why We Talk to Ourselves: The Science of Your Internal Monologue With regard to the limits, methodological individualism has often been evoked, saying that it is an exclusively micro-sociological perspective that neglects the effect of social structure. Inking and the role of socialization cause individuals to form a certain partisan identification that produces certain types of political attitudes. European Journal of Political Research, 54(2), 197215. This table shows that for quite some time now there has been a strong decline in partisan identification. It is no longer a question of explaining "why" people participate but "how", that is, in terms of voter turnout, what choice is made and what can explain an electoral choice. Voting is an instrument that serves us to achieve an objective. Webmagnitude of changes between elections. xref There are other models that try to relate the multiplicity of issues to an underlying ideological space, i.e., instead of looking at specific issues, everything is brought back to a left-right dimension as a shortcut, for example, and there are other theories that consider the degree of ambiguity and clarity of the candidates' positions. JSTOR. The Michigan model was based on the idea of socialization and partisan identification as a long-term attachment to a party that is the result of primary socialization in particular, and therefore as insertion into a given social context. The distance must be assessed on the basis of what the current policy is. A distinction must be made between the affective vote of the psycho-sociological model and the cognitive vote of the theories of the economic model. There is a whole branch of the electoral literature that emphasizes government action as an essential factor in explaining the vote, and there is a contrast between a prospective vote, which is voting according to what the parties say they will do during the election campaign, and a retrospective vote, which is voting in relation to what has been done, particularly by the government, which has attributed the successes or failures of a policy. Regarding the causal ambiguity, there are also critics who say that this approach is very strongly correlational in the sense that it looks for correlations between certain social variables and electoral choices, but the approach does not explain why this variable approach really has a role and therefore what are the causal mechanisms that lead from insertion, positions, social predispositions to electoral choice. This is a fairly reasonable development, as is the discounting model, whose proximity was something reasonable and which makes the model more consistent with reality. On this basis, four types of voters can be identified in a simplified manner: It is possible to start from the assumption that the characteristics of these different voters are very different. The further a party moves in the other direction, the less likely the voter will choose it because the utility function gradually decreases. 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