Start with the McKinsey Download Hub to find McKinsey’s latest research, perspectives, and insights on the management issues that matter most, from leading through the COVID-19 crisis to managing risk and digitizing operations. Roughly half have no more than four months of savings. Amid the chaos and all the incoming advice, it’s hard to know exactly what leaders should do today. In both the base-case and pessimistic scenarios, in addition to facing consumer-demand headwinds, companies will need to navigate supply-chain challenges. McKinsey experts outlined the five bold moves that consumer companies should make to adapt their organizations to the exigencies of the crisis. The case depends on the progress made to date—and the potential for more. Greater China will become even more reliant on public transit and rail as some drivers are coaxed out of their cars. Our interview with the CEO of Cincinnati Children’s Hospital talks about how leaders can choose to be generous and genuine with some colleagues, and collaborative and catalytic with others. However, the later framework is more details about the elements included in each factor which may vary from one company to another. The medical community has learned much about how COVID-19 is passed from person to person and therefore how to prevent transmission. 18. are piloting or using this approach to monitor for COVID-19, wastewater remains an underutilized tool globally. Kristin Peck, the brand-new CEO of animal-health company Zoetis, reflected on the core beliefs that have kept her company on track through the crisis. Clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats. Goods are facing delays of between eight and ten days on their journey to ports. It now appears likely that some places will experience a local resurgence as restrictions are lifted and economies reopen. Second, the crisis has also led to a surgical backlog for elective procedures because of lack of hospital capacity, workforce shortages, and new safety protocols. These measures, written and delivered at speed, have succeeded in many ways. 3 Liedtka, J. Companies that navigate disruptions better often succeed because they invest in their core customer segments and anticipate their behaviors. This week, we also examined the priorities for companies in India to thrive in the next normal; reviewed the early returns on post-COVID-19 discretionary spending in China, India, and Indonesia; and considered the lessons of the past that might prove helpful as policy makers seek to revive the US economy. In this note, we offer some of our latest insights on the COVID-19 pandemic, starting with a survey of the current epidemiology and the five dynamics leaders need to watch: the efficacy of the surge in critical care, the expansion of testing and other traditional approaches, the development of antibody testing, the unknown nature of immunity, and a wave of innovation that might produce treatments and vaccines. Impact Of Job Design On Employee Performance Business Essay. How can they keep these successful innovations going over the long term? Over the past few months, many have become more familiar with epidemiological concepts like the reproduction number (R) of a virus. Key findings: over the past two decades, every ethnic minority group has made progress, in both absolute terms and relative to the white majority, on a range of economic indicators (exhibit). Accelerate the application of test results by integrating data platforms for testing with those for contact tracing, shortening the time to quarantine. (Perhaps they have already embraced Peter Harmer’s view.) Telemedicine is one of the extraordinary growth stories of the pandemic. This point is no less important for having been made frequently. In these briefing notes, we aim to provide leaders with an integrated perspective on the unfolding crisis and insight into the coming weeks and months. Across the globe, they are reporting lower income, savings, and spending. Failed initiatives are costly at several levels. Across the world, countries are taking different approaches to restricting importation of COVID-19 cases. Further, in most cases, team members will need to step out of their day-to-day roles and dedicate most of their time to virus response. We know now that health systems in any developed country should be able to anticipate, plan for, manage, and successfully navigate the pandemic adequately both for patients with COVID-19 and for patients with other diseases. More generally, heat and humidity will reduce labor productivity and hurt growth in an economy that relies substantially on outdoor work. “China reports rise in Covid-19 cases, Beijing calls for vigilance,” France 24, May 11, 2020, france24.com. COVID-19 continues to spread rapidly around the world. This scenario sees some spread in Africa, India, and other densely populated areas, but the transmissibility of the virus declines naturally with the northern hemisphere spring. You can also see the full collection of our coronavirus-related content, visual insights from our “chart of the day,” a curated collection of our first 100 coronavirus articles, our suite of tools to help leaders respond to the pandemic, and a look at how our editors choose images that help readers visualize the impact of an invisible threat. In my previous article (How to Successfully Apply the Inspiration in Design Thinking), we explored the different models of design thinking stages. While a number of locations, including Queensland in Australia, Ashkelon in Israel, and Boise in the United States, The design thinking process is agile at its core as the team can move between the different phases when needed. Practical resources to help leaders navigate to the next normal: guides, tools, checklists, interviews and more. Any new model should of course ensure a comfortable experience for those who test positive, so that they’re strongly inclined to follow the recommended approach. Case management has improved. 17. As other geographies experience continued case growth, it is likely that movement restrictions will be imposed to attempt to stop or slow the progression of the disease. Consumer companies may feel these needs more acutely than most, as two reports published this week demonstrate. But as economies slow, business budgets will tighten, and designers must continue to … We expect a drastic decrease in private-car usage in some major European cities but only a slight decline in North America. Hundreds of billions in real-estate investment are riding on these questions. “Considerations for wearing masks: Help slow the spread of COVID-19,” Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, August 7, 2020, cdc.gov. Within each is a seed of recovery, but stakeholders must be prepared to reimagine their country’s economy in five areas: manufacturing hubs, green infrastructure, investments in digital, talent reskilling, and high-value food industries. Older people, especially, are at risk (Exhibit 1). Certain sectors are particularly at risk (exhibit). Content marketing and the evolution of graphic design for digital marketing is continuing to rise. It can also allow for more nuanced risk assessments, for example, to determine who can safely access senior-care facilities. We also offer ideas for hospital systems on how to use their resources to the utmost. Until then, governments that want to restart their economies must have public-health systems that are strong enough to detect and respond to cases. In 54 pages, we document the current situation, the economic outlook, the forces shaping the next normal, and the new organizational structures that can help companies keep pace sustainably. These subteams should define specific goals for the next 48 hours, adjusted continually, as well as weekly goals, all based on the company’s agreed-on planning scenario. Should companies unbatten the hatches, or is it too soon? Also this week: a new survey of Europe’s small and medium-size businesses lays out the extent of the economic damage and owners’ muted outlook. Healthcare supply chains, especially for personal protective equipment, were overwhelmed. In the digital era, design sits at the core of amazing brand experiences. In our new survey of some 300 C-level executives, we look at the ways that the corporate center is evolving. From a common purpose to rapid decision making to empowered local teams, these companies found ways to respond quickly to COVID-19. Protect your employees. The best surveillance systems seamlessly combine data from traditional sources with newer data sets, such as anonymized mobility tracking—and do so in near real time. And they improve over time as a design principle, incorporating new sources of data and improving quality to reduce friction in the response. “COVID-19 therapies and vaccines: Clinical,” Biocentury, biocentury.com. 19. The next few weeks will be critical tests of our ability to “bend the curve” in more countries with varying contexts and healthcare capacity. By open-sourcing case studies and actionable tactics from some of the best in the business, we aim to help leaders effectively demonstrate the business impact of design. As a marketer, especially with the development of technology, your job is to think how to impress audiences through the website in order to exceed customer’s expectations coupled with explaining fascinating concepts as to why your company is and what value your customers can get. More and more, successful organizations are finding ways for people to work in concert with new technologies. Epidemiologists are in general agreement on two characteristics of COVID-19: What we are still discovering. We’ve learned much about the natural history and epidemiology of COVID-19. Is the money directed in the best possible way? 16. We outline them here as an aid to leaders as they think through crisis management for their companies. Five years on, we assess the scant progress to date, blunted by COVID-19, and offer ten things that everyone needs to know about gender equality. This article reflects our perspective as of April 13, 2020. But will the boom last? Finally, while small business might not be an industry, it is a mighty economic sector that employs tens of millions of people in the United States. The months ahead will probably be quite volatile and dynamic. Others are adopting company-wide policies without thinking through the needs of each location and each employee segment. New ideas can help these regions meet short-term needs and set the foundation for a better long-term future. Our flagship business publication has been defining and informing the senior-management agenda since 1964. EI Design can help you in this mandate through a range of unique offerings – starting with how to increase learner motivation and engagement and moving up to training effectiveness and its impact. 12 Epidemiology. “Rapid expert consultation on SARS-CoV-2 survival in relation to temperature and humidity and potential for seasonality for the COVID-19 pandemic,” National Academies Press, April 7, 2020, nap.edu. Regions that have not yet seen rapid case growth (such as the Americas) are increasingly likely to see more sustained community transmission (for example, expansion of the emergency clusters in the western United States). We strive to provide individuals with disabilities equal access to our website. A complicating factor, not yet analyzed, is that workers in the gig economy, such as rideshare drivers, may continue to report to work despite requests to stay home, lest they lose income. Africa, Oceania, and some Asian countries also experience widespread epidemics, though countries with younger populations experience fewer deaths in percentage terms. Customers’ changing preferences are not likely to go back to pre-outbreak norms. Federal, state, and local governments can take a range of actions to both improve productivity and stimulate demand. Two more are coming as part of Our New Future, a multimedia series we created with CNBC. The daily movements of people and the sheer number of personal connections within these transmission complexes make it unlikely that COVID-19 can be contained. Our private-equity research teams chipped in a comprehensive look at the effects of the crisis on sectors, and what those mean for portfolio companies and firm strategy. Approximately 9,500 stores went out of business in 2019, only to be eclipsed by 2020’s estimates of 25,000 stores predicted to close. The virus proves to be seasonal, further limiting its spread. Even seven months into the COVID-19-pandemic response, there is a surprising level of disagreement about questions as basic as the true number of people who have been infected with SARS-CoV-2 and the number of deaths attributable to it. In an interview with McKinsey’s Rodney Zemmel, Lord Darzi explains how healthcare can transition from a “sickness service” to a “health and well-being service.” One critical step is to recognize that “we have many pandemics—only we don’t call them pandemics. Also consider our special collection The Next Normal: The Recovery Will Be Digital. As the reopening of economies continues across much of Europe and North America, it’s worth taking stock of the epidemiological situation and trends that will define the months ahead. We hope you draw some inspiration from this list and find ways to restore yourself during these unusual times. For many, the cure for loneliness might be a return to the office, the subject of some of our latest research. R defines the transmissibility of a pathogen, as measured by the average number of people to whom each infected person transmits. SaaS companies are at a crossroads: COVID-19 will accelerate the footprint of SaaS, given the growth of remote working, the rapid deployment of digital solutions, and the lower up-front costs. We hope you draw some inspiration from this list and find ways to restore yourself during these unusual times. Antonio Regalado, “Blood tests show 14% of people are now immune to COVID-19 in one town in Germany,”. 7. Our ongoing research on the US racial-wealth gap and on diversity and inclusion is intended to clarify some of the underlying issues and potential paths forward. An ability to collect, analyze, and interpret data is fundamental to the management of infectious diseases. Decisions about which measures to deploy, when and where, should be made locally—if possible, district by district—because there are material differences in the severity of the crisis and economic circumstances (Exhibit 4). This could contribute to a perception of “leakage,” as the public comes to believe that the infections aren’t contained. Thanks to that, the world may be able to look ahead to the pandemic’s end. Report 30/04/2005 . We start with an idea—that returning is a muscle that needs to be exercised, not a plan to be executed once or a date to be achieved. Our purpose is the framework through which all our decisions are made.”. Such policies are more effective if employees receive compensation protection—and insulation from other consequences too. For decades, McKinsey has advocated for the advantages of scenario planning while also recognizing the ways the approach can fall short. The financial system suffers significant distress, but a full-scale banking crisis is averted because of banks’ strong capitalization and the macroprudential supervision now in place. Interventions are divided into three categories—detecting disease, reducing the number of new cases, and limiting mortality—and can be tailored for specific populations and settings (Exhibit 1). Steve Usdin, “End of the beginning for COVID-19 vaccines,” Biocentury, May 2, 2020, biocentury.com. Supply-chain resilience will be at a premium. Also consider our special collection The Next Normal: The Recovery Will Be Digital, featuring a 172-page curated volume that you can download—the first of five edited collections that accompany Our New Future, a multimedia series we created with CNBC. The scenario assumes that younger people are affected enough to change some daily habits (for example, they wash hands more frequently) but not so much that they shift to survival mode and take steps that come at a higher cost, such as staying home from work and keeping children home from school. As China gradually reopens, the tactics it used (including group-based isolation models and setting a norm of wearing masks in the workplace) and their efficacy will inform approaches around the world. 4. Every jurisdiction is likely to be vaccine-supply constrained in the short term, so agreeing on grounding principles in advance will make allocation decisions easier down the road. Managers need to process these changes and many others, and come to grips with the long-term strategic-planning agenda. Risk-management teams are running hard to catch up with cascades of credit risk, among other challenges. Ideally, public-health leaders would have the ability to work upstream when increases in viral concentration are detected—for example, from testing town sewers to determining which neighborhoods are the source of the virus. Electric vehicles (EVs) have not been spared. Eventbrite - Dropbox Design presents Design for Business Impact - Wednesday, November 11, 2020 - Find event and ticket information. And, with disruption everywhere, people miss their old lives. The world needs designers now more than ever — to lead human-centered approaches to challenges that range from pandemics to social justice to climate change. Even as societies and businesses race to reopen, the global pandemic still poses significant problems. Our industry research this week looked at fintech, where the news is not altogether bad, though fintech companies may have to find a detour on the road to profitability. These characteristics have been framed into different design thinking models such as the Double Diamond, IDEO model, IBM Design Thinking, and others. At semiconductors companies, the pandemic has posed questions for every aspect of the business model. 5 The threat of COVID-19 to lives and livelihoods will fully resolve only when enough people are immune to the disease to blunt transmission, either from a vaccine or direct exposure. Operating models, too, have come under pressure at companies facing great uncertainty. This methodology helps companies to get outside the box and explore ideas outside the traditional thinking inside the organization (case study: Design Thinking Case Study: Innovation at Apple). And pharmaceutical companies have turned out a remarkably robust pipeline of vaccine and therapeutic candidates. Investors may also be focused on the vast differences in resilience at companies. This week, our new research found that small and medium-size businesses in the United Kingdom face dire prospects: one in five may not survive past August 2020. Leading companies are capitalizing on this by installing four talent-management practices to thrive beyond the pandemic. For an overview, read our latest briefing materials (July 6, 2020). Chief executives can help their marketing chiefs meet these goals, and much more besides. Finally, our climate experts trained their sights on India, a country that faces a rapidly degrading physical environment. Executives everywhere are thinking about the potential for successful vaccines to deliver the next normal. Also this week: McKinsey researchers examined the potential for medtech innovation, and a more productive future for insurers. Sometimes, Design is invisible, sometimes it is a living breathing thing. Governments have not lost sight of their purpose, but fulfilling it has become much more difficult. Communities with severe housing problems, unemployment rates, incarceration rates, poverty levels, and food insecurity suffer 1.4 to 4.0 times as many COVID-19-related deaths as other communities. Reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction. In what follows, we review the two most likely scenarios for economic impact and recovery and provide insights and best practices on how business leaders can navigate this uncertain and fast-changing situation. While every country’s response is unique, there are three archetypes emerging—two successful and one not—that offer valuable lessons. 17 In this briefing note, we attempt to distinguish the things we know from those we don’t, and the potential implications of both sets of factors. A guide to our research methods and the academic sources we reviewed. Supply chains are another critical focus of the renewed attention, as covered in MGI’s new report and partner Susan Lund’s comments in the Economist. A COVID-19 vaccine may yet “save the world.” But even if one proves effective, it will be many months before we will have the capacity to vaccinate everyone—and there are new concerns about reinfection. But it remains to be seen how these factors will play out and the direct impact they will have. Videoconferences and live chats are helping companies seal the deal; traditional phone calls are now a last resort. Captains rely on the “chief of the boat” to take the pulse of the crew and represent their needs. Impact- Mention the benefits that the business will be getting. But focusing on the risks of autumn and winter causes us to look past the summer, which is risky because it is sooner and because it is when many jurisdictions will be reopening and testing. collaboration with select social media and trusted analytics partners In the 1990s, adherents of Francis Fukuyama came to believe in the “end of history.” The COVID-19 pandemic and a host of other factors—such as climate change, cyberattacks, and terrorism—have helped history stage a resounding comeback. Executives everywhere are thinking about the critical next months of the pandemic. The first and most obvious factor in determining readiness is the number of new cases in a given area. Testing is critical for containing COVID-19, yet many countries still struggle with shortages of the necessary materials. (2017). Many jurisdictions are enlisting the help of partners, celebrities, and influencers to amplify their messages. This has been an extremely painful time for communities across the United States and beyond, even as the pandemic continues to take its toll. Research we published in April called out the disproportionate effects of COVID-19 on black Americans, who are almost twice as likely to live in the counties where the risk to health and economic activity is highest if and when contagion strikes (exhibit). World Health Organization guidelines now state that it may be possible indoors, especially for people who spend significant amounts of time in crowded, poorly ventilated rooms. Case growth continues throughout Q2 and Q3, potentially overwhelming healthcare systems around the world and pushing out a recovery in consumer confidence to Q3 or beyond. Practice the plan. Such questions have semiconductor companies thinking about their manufacturing plants. This week we published new perspectives on the fashion, hospitality, infrastructure, institutional-investing, nursing, and public-transport sectors. You can also see the full collection of our coronavirus-related content, visual insights from our “chart of the day,” a curated collection of our first 100 coronavirus articles, our suite of tools to help leaders respond to the pandemic, and a look at how our editors choose images that help readers visualize the impact of an invisible threat. In the months ahead, additional evidence may support therapies based on other antivirals and monoclonal antibodies. Relevant lessons might come from other geographies, other sectors, or from peers and competitors. Social services and options for out-of-home isolation, such as in converted hotels, can improve the effectiveness of quarantine and make it more tolerable. McKinsey continues to track economic and epidemiological developments around the world. 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